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NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportOIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
Market Cap $447M|NYSE
2026-08-31$34.69
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +31.1%YTD +0.9%7D -0.2%
21
30D
±15.1%
10%

NGS Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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NGS Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

3.5
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 70.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 70% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.30x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 44.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 181.0% (ATM 44.6% + spread 68.2% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 101.90% (spread 68.18% + slippage 33.72%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.74 (vega 5.058 / spread 68.18%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -85%, Raw: -88%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -85% (strong bearish) — Raw: -88%

≥15%

|OI skew| 37.4% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +61.9%, OI skew +37.4% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -88% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.1
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +7.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 100% — highly urgent

≥30

Conviction -85 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.2
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 68.2% — wide

≥10,000

OI 1,669 — thin

≥500

Volume 21/day — thin

≤$0.50

$3.41 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 40.2 contracts (bid:5.2 ask:35.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 33.72% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.3
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +30.3% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 9.5pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 183.94 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -85% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls3.9
bullishIV expensive, bearish flow
Long Puts4.9
bearishIV expensive, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.7
bullishIV rich premium, bearish flow
Covered Call5.8
bearishIV rich premium, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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