Options/NOBL

NOBLProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $11.9B|BATS

● 2026-08-28$58.34

BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data

1Y +12.4%YTD +11.7%7D -0.7%

Options Vol

30D

Implied Move

±5.7%

IV Rank

NOBL Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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NOBL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.9

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 14.8% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.81x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 27% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 17.4% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 203.3% (ATM 17.4% + spread 93.0% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 116.70% (spread 92.96% + slippage 23.74%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.61 (vega 5.638 / spread 92.96%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.8

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -33%, Raw: -33%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -33% (strong bearish) — Raw: -33%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 0.6% — balanced

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -42.9%, OI skew +0.6% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change -2.2% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 4% — quiet vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 33% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -33 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.7

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 93.0% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 5,276 — thin

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 7/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$4.65 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 150.39999999999998 contracts (bid:14.7 ask:135.7) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 23.74% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +25.2% — backwardation

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 15% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 3.2pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 169.31 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -33% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls4.6

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Long Puts6.8

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put3.9

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Covered Call5.4

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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