NVONovo-Nordisk A/S
NVO Options Overview
bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
NVO Gamma Walls
NVO Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where NVO sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.07) — downside puts carry 1.8 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 19% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.87): it is trading 1% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, a name whose wall relationship is measured as inverted, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 52.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.71x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 25% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.8% — normal range
Effective IV 42.9% (ATM 34.8% + spread 4.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 8.35% (spread 4.04% + slippage 4.31%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 12.75 (vega 5.153 / spread 4.04%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +24% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 23.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +33.8%, OI skew +23.3% — aligned
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +45%, ATM: +22%, OTM: +8% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.3% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -7.3% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +24 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.0% — acceptable
OI 1,376,958 — deep
Volume 59,841/day — active
$0.20 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 260.79999999999995 contracts (bid:131.6 ask:129.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.31% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.1% — contango
IV percentile 53% — neutral
IV kink -5.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 149.79 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +24% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.