NVSNovartis AG
NVS Options Overview
unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
NVS Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 43.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.9% — normal range
Effective IV 41.2% (ATM 28.9% + spread 6.2% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 8.32% (spread 6.15% + slippage 2.17%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 23.88 (vega 14.686 / spread 6.15%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 41.6% — put-heavy
Vol skew +21.0%, OI skew -41.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -72%, ATM: +30%, OTM: -12% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.8% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.2% — wide
OI 126,037 — deep
Volume 7,305/day — active
$0.31 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 65% — wider than sector
Depth 78.6 contracts (bid:44.4 ask:34.2) — thin
Avg slippage 2.17% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +25.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 43% — neutral
IV kink 4.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 119.89 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.