O

OVTOverlay Shares Short Term Bond ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $50M|BATS
2026-05-05$21.59
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-05-04 EOD data
1Y -2.7%YTD -1.6%7D -0.6%
--
30D
±11.3%
6%

OVT Options Overview

IV is low. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.3VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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OVT Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 24.2% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 7.46x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 39% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 2.19x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 24.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 26.4% (ATM 24.4% + spread 1.0% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 0.99% (spread 0.99% + slippage 0.00%) — minimal drag

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 63.82 (vega 6.318 / spread 0.99%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBalanced - Weak signal (P/C: 1.00)
<0.65 or >1.55

P/C 1.00 — balanced (buy/sell unknown)

≥15%

|OI skew| 0.0% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +0.0%, OI skew +0.0% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 30% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/9 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.0x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.0% — normal turnover

≥60%

Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 50% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

≥30

Conviction +0 (neutral) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 1.0% — tight

≥10,000

OI 0 — thin

≥500

Volume 0/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.05 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 49% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 0 contracts (bid:0 ask:0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 0.00% — excellent

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +118.9% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 19.2pts — event priced

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1858.15 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +0% @ 50% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.0
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.6
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.6
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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