IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.9% — normal range
Effective IV 101.4% (ATM 54.9% + spread 23.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 32.87% (spread 23.26% + slippage 9.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.12 (vega 7.256 / spread 23.26%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +63% (strong bullish) — Raw: +55%
|OI skew| 42.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -19.0%, OI skew +42.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +20%, OTM: +62% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 93% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 14% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction +63 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 23.3% — wide
OI 11,098 — adequate
Volume 42/day — thin
$1.16 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 38.9 contracts (bid:18.2 ask:20.7) — thin
Avg slippage 9.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 31.98 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +63% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.