Options/RLAY

RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

Options Analysis Report•BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

Market Cap $4.1B|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$18.77

BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +412.8%YTD +129.5%7D -5.0%

Options Vol

456

30D

Implied Move

±24.2%

IV Rank

10%

RLAY Options Overview

IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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RLAY Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

3.5

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks1/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 92.9% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.98x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 80% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 80.4% — crisis-level IV

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 124.7% (ATM 80.4% + spread 22.2% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 26.68% (spread 22.17% + slippage 4.51%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.22 (vega 2.699 / spread 22.17%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.4

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -27%, Raw: -23%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -27% (bearish) — Raw: -23%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 12.1% — balanced

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -68.9%, OI skew +12.1% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +1%, ATM: +24%, OTM: -42% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 92% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.5

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +3.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 8% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -27 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.8

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 22.2% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 29,472 — adequate

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 456/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.11 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 93.4 contracts (bid:64.4 ask:29.0) — thin

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.51% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +22.0% — backwardation

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.5pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 87.93 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -27% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls4.0

bullishIV expensive, bearish flow

Long Puts6.0

bearishIV expensive, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put4.8

bullishIV rich premium, bearish flow

Covered Call5.9

bearishIV rich premium, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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