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SAPSAP SE

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $255.7B|NYSE
2026-08-31$221.54
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -16.8%YTD -6.5%7D +1.3%
1,743
30D
±9.6%
8%

SAP Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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SAP Gamma Walls

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SAP Hedge Radar

No action needed
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where SAP sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.06) — near-dated vol is priced 19% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 8th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (1): it is trading 11% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is contracting.

Protection cost
3.06/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
1.00/ 10resilient
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 53.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 9% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.81x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 33.9% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 46.4% (ATM 33.9% + spread 6.3% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 10.53% (spread 6.26% + slippage 4.27%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.51 (vega 1.573 / spread 6.26%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.8
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: -2%, Raw: +10%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: +10%

≥15%

|OI skew| 2.4% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +20.7%, OI skew +2.4% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +51%, ATM: -42%, OTM: +27% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 55% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.7
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +10.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 40% — patient

≥30

Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

5.2
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 6.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 89,257 — deep

≥500

Volume 1,743/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.31 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

2 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 90.69999999999999 contracts (bid:37.8 ask:52.9) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.27% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -19.4% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 53% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -4.4pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 7.49 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.3
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.8
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.9
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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