SAPSAP SE
SAP Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
SAP Gamma Walls
SAP Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where SAP sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.06) — near-dated vol is priced 19% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 8th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (1): it is trading 11% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is contracting.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 53.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 9% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.9% — normal range
Effective IV 46.4% (ATM 33.9% + spread 6.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 10.53% (spread 6.26% + slippage 4.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.51 (vega 1.573 / spread 6.26%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 2.4% — balanced
Vol skew +20.7%, OI skew +2.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +51%, ATM: -42%, OTM: +27% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.3% — wide
OI 89,257 — deep
Volume 1,743/day — adequate
$0.31 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 90.69999999999999 contracts (bid:37.8 ask:52.9) — thin
Avg slippage 4.27% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.4% — contango
IV percentile 53% — neutral
IV kink -4.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 7.49 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.