Options/SMFG
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SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc American Depositary Shares (each representing 3/5th of a share of common stock)

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $164.1B|NYSE
2026-08-28$25.92
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y +57.4%YTD +33.3%7D +3.5%
37
30D
±8.4%
15%

SMFG Options Overview

Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.0VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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SMFG Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 45.9% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 67% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.89x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 31.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 80.7% (ATM 31.2% + spread 24.7% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 29.44% (spread 24.74% + slippage 4.70%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.47 (vega 6.109 / spread 24.74%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

7.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +100%, Raw: +100%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +100% (strong bullish) — Raw: +100%

≥15%

|OI skew| 43.8% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -94.6%, OI skew -43.8% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +0% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 99% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.7
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.6x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -13.2% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

≥30

Conviction +100 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 24.7% — wide

≥10,000

OI 2,411 — thin

≥500

Volume 37/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.24 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 75% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 75.19999999999999 contracts (bid:32.8 ask:42.4) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.70% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.9
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -10.9% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 46% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 702.20 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +100% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.0
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts4.6
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.1
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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