Options/SPYG
S

SPYGState Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $55.0B|ARCX
2026-08-31$121.25
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +22.9%YTD +13.6%7D +1.6%
982
30D
±4.9%
12%

SPYG Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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SPYG Gamma Walls

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SPYG Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where SPYG sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.95) — near-dated vol is priced 16% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 12th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 14-trading-day realized moves (490 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (5.15): it is trading 1% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.95/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
5.15/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

8.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 19.4% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 34% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.84x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 19.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 51.9% (ATM 19.0% + spread 16.5% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 18.39% (spread 16.47% + slippage 1.92%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 21.03 (vega 34.639 / spread 16.47%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.8
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Weak signal (Conviction: -6%, Raw: -8%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -8%

≥15%

|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -66.6%, OI skew +0.3% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +24%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -8% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.0x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 9.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +3.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 6% — patient

≥30

Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.0
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 16.5% — wide

≥10,000

OI 10,699 — adequate

≥500

Volume 982/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.82 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 50% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 83.1 contracts (bid:39.1 ask:44.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 1.92% — fair

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.8
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -16.2% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 19% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1312.10 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.6
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts7.4
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.5
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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