TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
TLT Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 6% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 11.7% — normal range
Effective IV 16.7% (ATM 11.7% + spread 2.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.77% (spread 2.50% + slippage 3.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.01 (vega 5.254 / spread 2.50%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 22.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.7%, OI skew +22.5% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +22%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +31% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -2.8% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 64% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 62% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 72% — urgent
Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.5% — acceptable
OI 12,060,759 — deep
Volume 536,387/day — active
$0.12 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 1,287.5 contracts (bid:660.5 ask:627.0) — deep
Avg slippage 3.27% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 505.15 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 92 (ITM 20% + inst 62%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.