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TMToyota Motor Corporation American Depositary Shares (Each representing ten Ordinary Shares)

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $230.3B|NYSE
2026-08-31$194.48
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +0.5%YTD -10.7%7D +0.3%
126
30D
±5.6%
14%

TM Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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TM Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

8.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 34.1% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 6% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.73x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 25.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 70.4% (ATM 25.0% + spread 22.7% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 28.98% (spread 22.72% + slippage 6.26%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 24.97 (vega 56.734 / spread 22.72%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Weak signal (Conviction: +4%, Raw: +6%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +6%

≥15%

|OI skew| 6.4% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +7.9%, OI skew +6.4% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +36%, OTM: -1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

≥30

Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.8
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 22.7% — wide

≥10,000

OI 17,193 — adequate

≥500

Volume 126/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.14 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 48% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 31.4 contracts (bid:16.8 ask:14.6) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.26% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -26.8% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 34% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -4.7pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1393.96 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.3
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.9
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.0
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call3.6
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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