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TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•RAILROAD EQUIPMENT
Market Cap $2.3B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$29.27
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +2.9%YTD +8.6%7D -1.4%
25
30D
±10.8%
11%

TRN Options Overview

Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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TRN Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.4
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 60.6% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 52% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.02x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 38.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 75.3% (ATM 38.1% + spread 18.6% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 22.43% (spread 18.60% + slippage 3.83%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.47 (vega 2.730 / spread 18.60%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.1
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +68%, Raw: +60%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +68% (strong bullish) — Raw: +60%

≥15%

|OI skew| 29.1% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew -29.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +60%, OTM: +0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 57% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 50% — patient

≥30

Conviction +68 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 18.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 1,817 — thin

≥500

Volume 25/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.93 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 91.0 contracts (bid:80.0 ask:11.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.83% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +1.6% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 61% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.1pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 85.86 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +68% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.4
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.6
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.0
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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