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ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Options Analysis Report•AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
Market Cap $1.3B|NASDAQ
● 2026-08-31$5.84
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +4.1%YTD +27.8%7D +0.9%
142
30D
±22.6%
21%

ULCC Options Overview

Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.0VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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ULCC Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 53.3% (ATM 0.0% + spread 26.7% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 38.27% (spread 26.67% + slippage 11.60%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 26.67%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.4
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +23%, Raw: +32%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: +32%

≥15%

|OI skew| 24.8% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +31.0%, OI skew -24.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +100%, ATM: -82%, OTM: +35% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 41% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +5.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 35% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 21% — patient

≥30

Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 26.7% — wide

≥10,000

OI 16,715 — adequate

≥500

Volume 142/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.33 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 717.0 contracts (bid:440.1 ask:276.9) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 11.60% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

5.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.3% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +23% @ 61% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.7
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.0
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.7
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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