USOUnited States Oil Fund, LP
USO Options Overview
unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
USO Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.81x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.2% — normal range
Effective IV 54.7% (ATM 38.2% + spread 8.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.10% (spread 8.23% + slippage 4.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.77 (vega 12.155 / spread 8.23%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 6.0% — balanced
Vol skew +34.2%, OI skew -6.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +14% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.0% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -28.6% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.2% — wide
OI 1,505,317 — deep
Volume 90,049/day — active
$0.41 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 351.79999999999995 contracts (bid:170.1 ask:181.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.87% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.1% — contango
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink -4.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 108.73 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.