UUPInvesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
UUP Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
UUP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 2.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.75x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 4% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.72x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 8.8% — normal range
Effective IV 105.7% (ATM 8.8% + spread 48.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 64.60% (spread 48.44% + slippage 16.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.41 (vega 1.968 / spread 48.44%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -11% (bearish) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 35.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +30.0%, OI skew +35.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -27%, OTM: +59% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 29% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction -11 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 48.4% — wide
OI 155,181 — deep
Volume 1,414/day — adequate
$2.42 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 27% — tighter than sector
Depth 238.2 contracts (bid:91.7 ask:146.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 16.16% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -27.9% — contango
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 457.77 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -11% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.