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WCNWaste Connections, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•REFUSE SYSTEMS
Market Cap $41.7B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$165.93
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -9.3%YTD -4.7%7D -1.8%
17
30D
±5.6%
14%

WCN Options Overview

IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn
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WCN Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 25.3% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.49x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 3% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.85x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 21.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 97.7% (ATM 21.4% + spread 38.2% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 58.14% (spread 38.16% + slippage 19.98%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 6.25 (vega 23.855 / spread 38.16%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -57%, Raw: -62%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -57% (strong bearish) — Raw: -62%

≥15%

|OI skew| 12.0% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +76.5%, OI skew +12.0% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -86% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 16% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +17.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 27% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

≥30

Conviction -57 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 38.2% — wide

≥10,000

OI 3,140 — thin

≥500

Volume 17/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.91 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 78.7 contracts (bid:39.2 ask:39.5) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 19.98% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -14.8% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 25% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 394.96 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -57% @ 75% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.6
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.1
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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