AInvestOption Pilot Program
Options/XPH
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XPHState Street SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $583M|ARCX
● 2026-08-31$70.79
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +48.6%YTD +28.2%7D -2.6%
2
30D
±7.8%
12%

XPH Options Overview

Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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XPH Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 33.9% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 53% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 24.9% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 279.4% (ATM 24.9% + spread 127.3% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 164.81% (spread 127.27% + slippage 37.54%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.48 (vega 6.146 / spread 127.27%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -100%, Raw: -100%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -100% (strong bearish) — Raw: -100%

≥15%

|OI skew| 30.5% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +30.5% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -100% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -1.8% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 17% — quiet vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 0% — patient

≥30

Conviction -100 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

1.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 127.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 446 — thin

≥500

Volume 2/day — thin

≤$0.50

$6.36 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 65% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 79.5 contracts (bid:16.5 ask:63.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 37.54% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +14.8% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 34% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 2.6pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 180.25 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -100% @ 100% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts5.9
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.7
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.1
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on XPH

XPH gamma wallsXPH max painXPH IV rankXPH options flow