XSP
XSP Options Overview
IV is low with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
XSP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 4% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.57x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 11.8% — normal range
Effective IV 21.2% (ATM 11.8% + spread 4.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 7.08% (spread 4.72% + slippage 2.36%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 421.15 (vega 198.782 / spread 4.72%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +0% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 43.3% — put-heavy
Vol skew +2.1%, OI skew -43.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 43.4% — high turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +0 (neutral) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.7% — acceptable
OI 784,446 — deep
Volume 340,054/day — active
$0.24 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 39% — tighter than sector
Depth 326.7 contracts (bid:155.6 ask:171.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.36% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -42.7% — contango
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1497.98 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +0% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.