IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.40x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.8% — normal range
Effective IV 79.3% (ATM 63.8% + spread 7.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.87% (spread 7.73% + slippage 5.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.91 (vega 5.339 / spread 7.73%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 13.7% — balanced
Vol skew +23.5%, OI skew +13.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -28%, OTM: -1% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -2.6% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 78% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.7% — wide
OI 287,815 — deep
Volume 19,199/day — active
$0.39 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 136.4 contracts (bid:67.2 ask:69.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 11.62 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.