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HXLHexcel Corporation

Options Analysis ReportPLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
Market Cap $6.8B|NYSE
2026-09-11$89.82
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +43.5%YTD +16.8%7D -2.3%
43
30D
±8.6%
9%

HXL Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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HXL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.6
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 53.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.63x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 38% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 36.7% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 94.6% (ATM 36.7% + spread 28.9% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 38.41% (spread 28.95% + slippage 9.46%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 8.77 (vega 25.375 / spread 28.95%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.8
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -45%, Raw: -46%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -45% (strong bearish) — Raw: -46%

≥15%

|OI skew| 41.4% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -90.7%, OI skew +41.4% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 99% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.6x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.4% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 22% — patient

≥30

Conviction -45 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 28.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 3,431 — thin

≥500

Volume 43/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.45 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 62% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 53.400000000000006 contracts (bid:24.1 ask:29.3) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 9.46% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +12.4% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 53% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 3.3pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 916.08 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -45% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.3
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts6.8
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.8
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.3
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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