X

XLKState Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $122.3B|ARCX
2026-09-11$185.22
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +36.7%YTD +28.4%7D -1.1%
24,537
30D
±7.9%
17%

XLK Options Overview

unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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XLK Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 37.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 57% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 28.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 38.3% (ATM 28.4% + spread 5.0% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 7.48% (spread 4.97% + slippage 2.51%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 34.70 (vega 17.247 / spread 4.97%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.4
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: -6%, Raw: -6%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -6%

≥15%

|OI skew| 29.1% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -18.0%, OI skew -29.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +12%, ATM: +8%, OTM: -18% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.5
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.9x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 57% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 27% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 16% — patient

≥30

Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

5.8
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 5.0% — acceptable

≥10,000

OI 780,149 — deep

≥500

Volume 24,537/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.25 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 295.70000000000005 contracts (bid:177.3 ask:118.4) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 2.51% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +6.6% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 37% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 135.70 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 57 (ITM 20% + inst 27%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.3
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts6.4
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.5
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.6
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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