IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.37x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 3.63x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 167.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 171.0% (ATM 167.0% + spread 2.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 3.57% (spread 1.99% + slippage 1.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 1.99%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 15.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +0.5%, OI skew +15.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 56%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 40.5% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.0% — tight
OI 5,850,980 — deep
Volume 2,372,165/day — active
$0.10 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 141.3 contracts (bid:68.0 ask:73.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.58% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +263.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 101.4pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.