IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 62.0% — normal range
Effective IV 79.3% (ATM 62.0% + spread 8.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 13.42% (spread 8.64% + slippage 4.78%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 73.67 (vega 63.652 / spread 8.64%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 25.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +36.8%, OI skew +25.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: -0%, OTM: +7% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 33% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 46% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.6% — wide
OI 213,973 — deep
Volume 13,506/day — active
$0.43 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 90.4 contracts (bid:53.7 ask:36.7) — thin
Avg slippage 4.78% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +22.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 14.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1777.99 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 76 (ITM 20% + inst 46%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.