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AUAngloGold Ashanti plc

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $52.5B|NYSE
2026-09-11$103.88
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +58.5%YTD +21.4%7D -4.8%
1,978
30D
±8.6%
22%

AU Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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AU Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.6
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 77.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 68% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 55.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 85.0% (ATM 55.1% + spread 14.9% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 21.73% (spread 14.93% + slippage 6.80%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 14.30 (vega 21.355 / spread 14.93%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +53%, Raw: +39%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +39%

≥15%

|OI skew| 29.6% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +14.4%, OI skew -29.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -39%, ATM: -12%, OTM: +50% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 59% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 25% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 38% — patient

≥30

Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.0
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 14.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 90,527 — deep

≥500

Volume 1,978/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.75 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 91.9 contracts (bid:44.9 ask:47.0) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.80% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.4pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 320.16 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.7
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.3
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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