COPConocoPhillips
COP Options Overview
bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
COP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 46.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.1% — normal range
Effective IV 48.4% (ATM 32.1% + spread 8.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 12.65% (spread 8.14% + slippage 4.51%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.22 (vega 7.507 / spread 8.14%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 12.5% — balanced
Vol skew +50.9%, OI skew +12.5% — aligned
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +37%, ATM: +20%, OTM: -14% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 23% — mixed
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.1% — wide
OI 310,847 — deep
Volume 10,910/day — active
$0.41 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 27% — tighter than sector
Depth 152.7 contracts (bid:75.2 ask:77.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.51% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.4% — contango
IV percentile 46% — neutral
IV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 45.33 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 53 (ITM 20% + inst 23%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.