IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 52.7% — normal range
Effective IV 77.3% (ATM 52.7% + spread 12.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 18.26% (spread 12.28% + slippage 5.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.25 (vega 6.451 / spread 12.28%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +43% (strong bullish) — Raw: +52%
|OI skew| 36.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -34.2%, OI skew +36.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +42%, ATM: +34%, OTM: +57% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +43 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.3% — wide
OI 150,700 — deep
Volume 1,548/day — adequate
$0.61 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — wider than sector
Depth 336.9 contracts (bid:223.0 ask:113.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 150.03 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +43% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.