IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 88.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 104.9% (ATM 88.8% + spread 8.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.05% (spread 8.03% + slippage 4.02%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.97 (vega 3.995 / spread 8.03%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 13.4% — balanced
Vol skew +17.8%, OI skew +13.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -5%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 67% — urgent
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 1,838,263 — deep
Volume 159,958/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 738.9 contracts (bid:423.0 ask:315.9) — deep
Avg slippage 4.02% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 9.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 453.95 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.