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WMBWilliams Companies Inc.

Options Analysis ReportNATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
Market Cap $89.1B|NYSE
2026-09-11$72.82
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +22.7%YTD +19.7%7D -1.8%
29,797
30D
±7.9%
13%

WMB Options Overview

bullish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

7.0VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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WMB Gamma Walls

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WMB Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where WMB sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.99) — the move being priced is 1.53x this name's own median 20-trading-day move, and near-dated vol is priced 6% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.72): it is trading 1% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.99/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
4.72/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

8.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 39.1% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 14% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.94x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 30.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 35.1% (ATM 30.0% + spread 2.5% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 5.43% (spread 2.55% + slippage 2.88%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 22.75 (vega 5.800 / spread 2.55%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +73%, Raw: +68%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +73% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%

≥15%

|OI skew| 20.9% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -37.8%, OI skew +20.9% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 4%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +17%, ATM: -32%, OTM: +89% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.0
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 3.1x avg — hot

≥15%

Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +0.1% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 70% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

≥30

Conviction +73 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

6.8
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 2.5% — acceptable

≥10,000

OI 399,286 — deep

≥500

Volume 29,797/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.13 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

2 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 18% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 191.7 contracts (bid:81.7 ask:110.0) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 2.88% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -5.7% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 39% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.3pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 129.76 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +73% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 100 (ITM 20% + inst 70%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls7.7
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.5
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call4.1
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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