WMBWilliams Companies Inc.
WMB Options Overview
bullish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
WMB Gamma Walls
WMB Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where WMB sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.99) — the move being priced is 1.53x this name's own median 20-trading-day move, and near-dated vol is priced 6% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.72): it is trading 1% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 39.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.0% — normal range
Effective IV 35.1% (ATM 30.0% + spread 2.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.43% (spread 2.55% + slippage 2.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.75 (vega 5.800 / spread 2.55%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +73% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%
|OI skew| 20.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -37.8%, OI skew +20.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 4%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +17%, ATM: -32%, OTM: +89% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 70% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +73 (bullish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.5% — acceptable
OI 399,286 — deep
Volume 29,797/day — active
$0.13 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 18% — much tighter than sector
Depth 191.7 contracts (bid:81.7 ask:110.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.88% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.7% — contango
IV percentile 39% — neutral
IV kink -1.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 129.76 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +73% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 100 (ITM 20% + inst 70%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.