Back to Unusual Flow
Research preview — numbers are not final. This page reflects work-in-progress methodology while we extend the pipeline (per-day OI series, max-profit-since-detection, multi-leg attribution refinements). Treat the figures below as illustrative until we publish the formal track record.
Unusual Options Flow · Track Record

Every print scored against real option prices.

469 closed trades from 2025-08-13 to 2026-04-28. Including the ones that didn't work.

Win Rate
45.6%
214 of 469
Avg Return per Trade
-13.4%
On premium paid
Total Realized P&L
$-1077.60M
$7420.1M premium scored
Currently Open
249
Marked to last EOD

By Strategy

Closed trades only. Strategies with N < 30 shown but flagged as preliminary.

Strategy
Trades
Win Rate
Avg Return
Long Call
35
31.4%
-5.5%
Long Putprelim
25
28.0%
-43.0%
Bull Call Spreadprelim
6
50.0%
+56.8%
Bear Put Spreadprelim
7
57.1%
+40.1%
Bull Put Spreadprelim
5
40.0%
-13.9%
Bear Call Spreadprelim
3
66.7%
+3.0%
Short Callprelim
29
65.5%
+23.9%
Short Putprelim
19
84.2%
+41.9%

Top winners & losers (last 60 days)

Showing the losers is the point. Cherry-picked track records lie.

How we measure this

Entry price = the option's print price the moment our scanner flagged it as unusual.

Exit price = first of: (a) intrinsic value at expiration close, (b) ThetaData EOD on the trading day OI dropped (recently_closed), or (c) latest EOD if still open.

Multi-leg strategies (spreads, straddles, condors) are grouped by symbol + expiration + entry day and scored on the group's net P&L.

Excluded from win rate: paired-and-cancel prints that never created an open position (283), single legs of multi-leg strategies (2), and contracts ThetaData has no settled price for (927). Open positions are tracked separately, not counted in the headline win rate.

Stock-side P&L from assignment (cash-secured puts, covered calls, wheel) is not included in v1 — these rows reflect the option-leg outcome only.

Read more

Start with the hub for the full picture, or jump to a specific deep-dive.

Hub

Unusual Option Trades — institutional flow, audited

Full overview of the pipeline, live stats, and the three deep-dive articles in one place.

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Past performance is not indicative of future results. AInvest Options Pilot is a research and data product, not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner; nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Options involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Trade outcomes shown reflect mid-market option marks and exclude commissions, slippage, and taxes. Read the OCC's Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before trading.