Earnings Implied Moves: Oct 19–23, 2026 — What Options Priced, and What Happened
Every US name reporting that week — the implied move vs. its historical earnings move — plus the SPY/QQQ/IWM expected ranges and walls. Anchored to the prior Friday’s close (Oct 16, 2026).
The Index Read · What Options Price for the Week
That week’s US macro: Building Permits, Housing Starts, Initial Jobless Claims, Continuing Jobless Claims, Jobless Claims 4-Week Average. Here’s the weekly move options are pricing across the majors — and the walls that box it in.
● Put wall — support. Heavy put positioning tends to act as a floor.
● Hedge wall — the pivot. Above it moves dampen (range-bound); below it they accelerate.
● Call wall — resistance. Heavy call positioning tends to cap the upside. More on call, put and hedge walls.
Walls move every trading day; these are Friday’s close (Oct 16). OptionPilot recomputes them each morning before the open.
The Macro Calendar · US Releases That Week
The scheduled US data inside this week’s expiry — the events the index ranges above already have to cover.
| Date | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 20 | Building Permits (Sep) | High |
| Tue Oct 20 | Housing Starts (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 22 | Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/17) | High |
| Thu Oct 22 | Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct/10) | High |
| Thu Oct 22 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/17) | High |
The Earnings Read · Every US Name Reporting That Week (Mon–Fri)
54 US companies report the week of Oct 19. The widest implied move is RNG at ±13.3%; the biggest name reporting is META at ±5.6%. Against their own earnings history, 29 are priced rich and 11 have room to run. 2 of 54 have reported so far that week — the rest are still ahead.
What the options market priced into each report — versus how much the stock has actually moved on its past prints. Sorted by market cap within each day.
| Stock & report | Mkt cap | Options implied | Actual move avg · max | What happened | The tell |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Oct 19 | |||||
| SMMTpre-mkt | $12B | ±11.3% | ±9.8% max 15% | +6.4% | 1.2× RICH |
| AGNCpost-mkt | $10B | ±5.0% | ±2.3% max 4% | upcoming | 2.2× RICH |
| CLFpre-mkt | $7B | ±12.2% | ±13.5% max 22% | +16.3% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Tue Oct 20 | |||||
| GEpre-mkt | $326B | ±6.2% | ±5.7% max 9% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| NFLXpost-mkt | $294B | ±9.5% | ±6.6% max 11% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| RTXpre-mkt | $261B | ±5.1% | ±5.0% max 10% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| ISRGpost-mkt | $151B | ±7.9% | ±5.4% max 14% | upcoming | 1.5× RICH |
| COFpost-mkt | $124B | ±5.5% | ±3.8% max 8% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| MMMpre-mkt | $85B | ±6.1% | ±5.6% max 8% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| GMpre-mkt | $74B | ±6.3% | ±9.1% max 15% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| UALpre-mkt | $31B | ±7.1% | ±5.1% max 12% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| HALpre-mkt | $28B | ±5.7% | ±5.1% max 12% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| NLYpost-mkt | $14B | ±3.6% | ±1.5% max 4% | upcoming | 2.4× RICH |
| Wed Oct 21 | |||||
| METApost-mkt | $1.8T | ±5.6% | ±7.1% max 11% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| TSLApost-mkt | $1.4T | ±7.4% | ±7.3% max 22% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| LRCXpost-mkt | $330B | ±8.2% | ±5.2% max 7% | upcoming | 1.6× RICH |
| PMpre-mkt | $320B | ±5.0% | ±6.1% max 11% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| SAPpost-mkt | $261B | ±7.2% | ±5.3% max 15% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| TMOpre-mkt | $255B | ±6.2% | ±4.1% max 9% | upcoming | 1.5× RICH |
| TXNpost-mkt | $252B | ±8.4% | ±7.8% max 13% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| IBMpost-mkt | $219B | ±7.7% | ±6.7% max 13% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| ABTpre-mkt | $181B | ±5.5% | ±5.1% max 10% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| NEEpre-mkt | $166B | ±4.0% | ±3.3% max 6% | upcoming | 1.2× RICH |
| DHRpre-mkt | $161B | ±6.9% | ±5.4% max 10% | upcoming | 1.3× RICH |
| Tpre-mkt | $161B | ±5.0% | ±3.6% max 6% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| CMEpre-mkt | $106B | ±3.8% | ±1.3% max 3% | upcoming | OUTSIZED PREMIUM |
| CSXpost-mkt | $90B | ±4.8% | ±2.7% max 7% | upcoming | 1.8× RICH |
| KMIpre-mkt | $76B | ±3.4% | ±2.2% max 5% | upcoming | 1.5× RICH |
| URIpost-mkt | $64B | ±8.1% | ±7.2% max 13% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| LVSpost-mkt | $25B | ±6.6% | ±8.5% max 14% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| LUVpost-mkt | $19B | ±6.6% | ±7.9% max 19% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| QSpre-mkt | $2B | ±11.7% | ±11.1% max 26% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Thu Oct 22 | |||||
| PGpre-mkt | $370B | ±3.7% | ±2.0% max 4% | upcoming | 1.9× RICH |
| UNPpre-mkt | $172B | ±4.3% | ±3.4% max 5% | upcoming | 1.3× RICH |
| VLOpre-mkt | $128B | ±6.5% | ±3.0% max 7% | upcoming | 2.2× RICH |
| LMTpre-mkt | $127B | ±4.9% | ±5.7% max 11% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| NEMpost-mkt | $125B | ±5.6% | ±6.8% max 15% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| WDCpost-mkt | $124B | ±10.7% | ±7.7% max 10% | upcoming | 1.4× RICH |
| BXpre-mkt | $123B | ±6.3% | ±4.8% max 8% | upcoming | 1.3× RICH |
| SPOTpre-mkt | $109B | ±9.5% | ±9.9% max 15% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CMCSApre-mkt | $78B | ±6.7% | ±4.6% max 11% | upcoming | 1.5× RICH |
| HONpre-mkt | $67B | ±5.1% | ±5.7% max 7% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| BEpost-mkt | $65B | ±12.1% | ±10.5% max 23% | upcoming | 1.2× RICH |
| NDAQpre-mkt | $53B | ±4.6% | ±2.4% max 6% | upcoming | 1.9× RICH |
| NOKpre-mkt | $49B | ±10.3% | ±7.8% max 11% | upcoming | 1.3× RICH |
| PCGpost-mkt | $35B | ±5.2% | ±2.0% max 4% | upcoming | OUTSIZED PREMIUM |
| PHMpre-mkt | $22B | ±5.4% | ±6.3% max 12% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| DOWpre-mkt | $22B | ±6.3% | ±7.3% max 18% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| TSCOpre-mkt | $17B | ±8.5% | ±4.2% max 8% | upcoming | 2.0× RICH |
| DECKpost-mkt | $12B | ±10.6% | ±16.2% max 21% | upcoming | CAN RUN MORE |
| AALpre-mkt | $8B | ±7.0% | ±6.5% max 10% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| RNGpost-mkt | $6B | ±13.3% | ±13.8% max 34% | upcoming | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Fri Oct 23 | |||||
| AXPpre-mkt | $212B | ±4.8% | ±3.3% max 7% | upcoming | 1.5× RICH |
| SLBpre-mkt | $73B | ±5.5% | ±3.2% max 6% | upcoming | 1.7× RICH |
Implied move = live ATM straddle for the expiry covering the report. Actual move = the stock’s own 1-day earnings reaction over its last reported quarters — avg is typical, max the biggest. “What happened” = the realized move this week. “pre/post-mkt” = reports before the open / after the close. “Can run more” = options price less than history; “rich” = more; “outsized premium” = far above (usually a special catalyst).
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Educational, not investment advice. Options involve risk. Implied moves reflect live at-the-money straddle prices; historical moves are averages of past reported quarters and are not a forecast.