Earnings Implied Moves: Oct 26–30, 2026 — What Options Priced, and What Happened
Every US name reporting that week — the implied move vs. its historical earnings move — plus the SPY/QQQ/IWM expected ranges and walls. Anchored to the prior Friday’s close (Oct 23, 2026).
The Index Read · What Options Price for the Week
That week’s US macro: New Home Sales MoM, New Home Sales, CB Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM, Durable Goods Orders MoM. Here’s the weekly move options are pricing across the majors — and the walls that box it in.
● Put wall — support. Heavy put positioning tends to act as a floor.
● Hedge wall — the pivot. Above it moves dampen (range-bound); below it they accelerate.
● Call wall — resistance. Heavy call positioning tends to cap the upside. More on call, put and hedge walls.
Walls move every trading day; these are Friday’s close (Oct 23). OptionPilot recomputes them each morning before the open.
The Macro Calendar · US Releases That Week
The scheduled US data inside this week’s expiry — the events the index ranges above already have to cover.
| Date | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 27 | New Home Sales MoM (Sep) | High |
| Tue Oct 27 | New Home Sales (Sep) | High |
| Tue Oct 27 | CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) | Medium |
| Tue Oct 27 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM (Sep) | High |
| Tue Oct 27 | Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep) | High |
| Tue Oct 27 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Sep) | High |
| Wed Oct 28 | Press Conference | High |
| Wed Oct 28 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | High |
| Wed Oct 28 | FOMC Economic Projections | High |
| Wed Oct 28 | Goods Trade Balance (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) | Medium |
| Thu Oct 29 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/24) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct/17) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/24) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Core PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3) | Medium |
| Thu Oct 29 | Core PCE Prices QoQ (Q3) | Low |
| Thu Oct 29 | PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | Medium |
| Thu Oct 29 | GDP Sales QoQ (Q3) | Low |
| Thu Oct 29 | Personal Income MoM (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Personal Spending MoM (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | Core PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | High |
| Thu Oct 29 | PCE Prices QoQ (Q3) | Low |
| Thu Oct 29 | PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | Medium |
The Earnings Read · Every US Name Reporting That Week (Mon–Fri)
125 US companies report the week of Oct 26. The widest implied move is MVIS at ±25.4%; the biggest name reporting is GOOGL at ±6.1%. Against their own earnings history, 75 are priced rich and 16 have room to run.
What the options market priced into each report — versus how much the stock has actually moved on its past prints. Sorted by market cap within each day.
| Stock & report | Mkt cap | Options implied | Actual move avg · max | The tell |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Oct 26 | ||||
| VZpre-mkt | $186B | ±4.5% | ±4.7% max 12% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CDNSpost-mkt | $87B | ±7.7% | ±7.9% max 13% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CLSpost-mkt | $33B | ±13.7% | ±12.3% max 18% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| SMMTpre-mkt | $12B | ±13.3% | ±9.8% max 15% | 1.4× RICH |
| AMKRpost-mkt | $10B | ±13.4% | ±7.8% max 18% | 1.7× RICH |
| Tue Oct 27 | ||||
| Vpre-mkt | $762B | ±3.5% | ±2.0% max 3% | 1.8× RICH |
| KOpre-mkt | $399B | ±3.3% | ±2.4% max 5% | 1.4× RICH |
| HSBCpre-mkt | $311B | ±4.5% | ±4.0% max 7% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BApre-mkt | $149B | ±5.7% | ±3.7% max 6% | 1.5× RICH |
| STXpost-mkt | $143B | ±9.8% | ±11.4% max 19% | CAN RUN MORE |
| SPGIpre-mkt | $133B | ±4.6% | ±4.8% max 10% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| GLWpre-mkt | $107B | ±9.6% | ±4.9% max 12% | 2.0× RICH |
| FCXpre-mkt | $94B | ±6.4% | ±2.7% max 7% | 2.4× RICH |
| JCIpre-mkt | $87B | ±6.8% | ±7.1% max 11% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| HLTpre-mkt | $79B | ±5.1% | ±2.6% max 5% | 2.0× RICH |
| UPSpre-mkt | $76B | ±6.4% | ±7.1% max 14% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| HOODpost-mkt | $75B | ±10.2% | ±9.8% max 17% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| RCLpre-mkt | $74B | ±8.0% | ±8.0% max 19% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| PYPLpre-mkt | $49B | ±7.9% | ±8.8% max 20% | CAN RUN MORE |
| TERpost-mkt | $48B | ±13.0% | ±12.0% max 21% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| EQTpost-mkt | $35B | ±5.5% | ±2.7% max 4% | 2.0× RICH |
| CNCpre-mkt | $35B | ±8.1% | ±6.4% max 13% | 1.3× RICH |
| PPGpost-mkt | $25B | ±5.1% | ±4.4% max 6% | 1.2× RICH |
| EXEpost-mkt | $22B | ±4.8% | ±3.8% max 5% | 1.3× RICH |
| SOFIpre-mkt | $19B | ±9.8% | ±6.9% max 10% | 1.4× RICH |
| STLApre-mkt | $12B | ±9.9% | ±5.7% max 11% | 1.7× RICH |
| GLXYpre-mkt | $5B | ±12.9% | ±10.6% max 17% | 1.2× RICH |
| ENPHpost-mkt | $4B | ±13.3% | ±17.0% max 39% | CAN RUN MORE |
| WGSpre-mkt | $2B | ±20.3% | ±27.6% max 50% | CAN RUN MORE |
| BBAIpost-mkt | $1B | ±14.7% | ±10.2% max 21% | 1.4× RICH |
| JBLUpre-mkt | $990M | ±19.0% | ±12.1% max 26% | 1.6× RICH |
| Wed Oct 28 | ||||
| GOOGLpre-mkt | $3.9T | ±6.1% | ±3.0% max 7% | 2.0× RICH |
| MSFTpost-mkt | $3.9T | ±5.3% | ±6.1% max 10% | CAN RUN MORE |
| GOOGpre-mkt | $3.9T | ±6.0% | ±3.0% max 7% | 2.0× RICH |
| SKHY | $973B | ±9.3% | — | LIMITED HISTORY |
| GEVpre-mkt | $217B | ±7.9% | ±7.4% max 15% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| KLACpre-mkt | $190B | ±9.0% | ±5.1% max 15% | 1.8× RICH |
| NOWpost-mkt | $164B | ±10.2% | ±8.2% max 16% | 1.2× RICH |
| TMUSpre-mkt | $157B | ±6.1% | ±6.2% max 11% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| FTNTpost-mkt | $132B | ±11.9% | ±9.1% max 22% | 1.3× RICH |
| ADPpre-mkt | $121B | ±5.2% | ±2.2% max 7% | 2.4× RICH |
| PSXpre-mkt | $114B | ±5.5% | ±3.1% max 5% | 1.8× RICH |
| GSKpre-mkt | $102B | ±5.3% | ±5.2% max 8% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| AEMpost-mkt | $88B | ±5.8% | ±3.3% max 6% | 1.8× RICH |
| VRTpre-mkt | $75B | ±11.0% | ±9.0% max 25% | 1.2× RICH |
| FDXpost-mkt | $71B | ±6.6% | ±5.0% max 15% | 1.3× RICH |
| BSXpre-mkt | $66B | ±8.5% | ±5.7% max 18% | 1.5× RICH |
| CVNApost-mkt | $63B | ±13.6% | ±13.4% max 19% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| EBAYpost-mkt | $54B | ±7.2% | ±9.2% max 18% | CAN RUN MORE |
| Fpost-mkt | $46B | ±6.3% | ±5.8% max 12% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BIIBpost-mkt | $37B | ±7.3% | ±4.2% max 9% | 1.7× RICH |
| CMGpost-mkt | $35B | ±7.5% | ±7.9% max 18% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| GEHCpre-mkt | $32B | ±6.5% | ±5.1% max 9% | 1.3× RICH |
| KGCpost-mkt | $27B | ±6.4% | ±4.5% max 7% | 1.4× RICH |
| IPpre-mkt | $18B | ±7.5% | ±8.6% max 13% | CAN RUN MORE |
| GFLpost-mkt | $16B | ±13.1% | ±3.5% max 6% | OUTSIZED PREMIUM |
| ARpost-mkt | $12B | ±5.9% | ±4.4% max 8% | 1.3× RICH |
| GNRCpre-mkt | $11B | ±10.7% | ±9.5% max 20% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| ALGNpost-mkt | $11B | ±10.1% | ±9.7% max 37% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| AURpost-mkt | $10B | ±14.6% | ±13.7% max 46% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| ETSYpre-mkt | $8B | ±11.0% | ±8.5% max 13% | 1.3× RICH |
| VFCpre-mkt | $7B | ±9.9% | ±12.3% max 27% | CAN RUN MORE |
| VKTXpost-mkt | $3B | ±7.9% | ±7.9% max 21% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BHCpost-mkt | $2B | ±10.9% | ±8.5% max 13% | 1.3× RICH |
| TDOCpost-mkt | $1B | ±12.1% | ±7.9% max 15% | 1.5× RICH |
| REPLpost-mkt | $1B | ±12.2% | ±4.6% max 7% | OUTSIZED PREMIUM |
| MVISpre-mkt | $28M | ±25.4% | ±11.1% max 29% | 2.3× RICH |
| Thu Oct 29 | ||||
| AMZNpost-mkt | $2.7T | ±7.8% | ±6.1% max 10% | 1.3× RICH |
| LLYpre-mkt | $1.2T | ±6.5% | ±8.3% max 14% | CAN RUN MORE |
| MApre-mkt | $546B | ±3.5% | ±2.4% max 4% | 1.5× RICH |
| INTCpost-mkt | $460B | ±9.9% | ±7.7% max 17% | 1.3× RICH |
| MRKpre-mkt | $358B | ±5.3% | ±3.2% max 9% | 1.7× RICH |
| CATpre-mkt | $316B | ±7.4% | ±4.1% max 12% | 1.8× RICH |
| SHELpre-mkt | $308B | ±3.7% | ±2.6% max 5% | 1.4× RICH |
| GILDpost-mkt | $193B | ±6.0% | ±5.4% max 8% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| SNDKpost-mkt | $179B | ±10.8% | ±8.0% max 15% | 1.4× RICH |
| BMYpre-mkt | $126B | ±5.5% | ±4.7% max 7% | 1.2× RICH |
| MOpre-mkt | $124B | ±4.1% | ±4.6% max 8% | CAN RUN MORE |
| SBUXpost-mkt | $115B | ±6.6% | ±3.0% max 8% | 2.2× RICH |
| ICEpre-mkt | $91B | ±3.8% | ±2.8% max 6% | 1.4× RICH |
| MDLZpost-mkt | $81B | ±4.0% | ±3.1% max 7% | 1.3× RICH |
| EPDpre-mkt | $80B | ±3.3% | ±2.0% max 5% | 1.6× RICH |
| HWMpre-mkt | $74B | ±8.0% | ±6.3% max 12% | 1.3× RICH |
| DLRpost-mkt | $64B | ±5.7% | ±3.7% max 10% | 1.5× RICH |
| LNGpre-mkt | $62B | ±5.0% | ±3.0% max 5% | 1.7× RICH |
| MSTRpost-mkt | $59B | ±8.5% | ±8.9% max 26% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CRHpre-mkt | $56B | ±5.4% | ±3.4% max 10% | 1.6× RICH |
| VALEpost-mkt | $53B | ±6.2% | ±2.7% max 4% | 2.3× RICH |
| LHXpost-mkt | $47B | ±4.5% | ±2.0% max 4% | 2.3× RICH |
| CARRpre-mkt | $46B | ±6.2% | ±6.4% max 12% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| COINpre-mkt | $43B | ±9.6% | ±11.2% max 17% | CAN RUN MORE |
| DHIpre-mkt | $41B | ±6.3% | ±6.1% max 17% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| TWLOpost-mkt | $40B | ±15.4% | ±12.1% max 20% | 1.3× RICH |
| ARESpre-mkt | $40B | ±7.0% | ±4.6% max 11% | 1.5× RICH |
| STMpre-mkt | $39B | ±11.9% | ±8.8% max 16% | 1.4× RICH |
| RBLXpre-mkt | $38B | ±14.3% | ±12.3% max 20% | 1.2× RICH |
| HSYpre-mkt | $34B | ±4.7% | ±3.6% max 9% | 1.3× RICH |
| RKTpost-mkt | $33B | ±9.8% | ±7.0% max 12% | 1.4× RICH |
| DXCMpost-mkt | $29B | ±8.8% | ±9.5% max 16% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| TECKpre-mkt | $29B | ±5.8% | ±4.2% max 9% | 1.4× RICH |
| RDDTpost-mkt | $28B | ±12.9% | ±14.8% max 42% | CAN RUN MORE |
| FSLRpost-mkt | $18B | ±9.8% | ±8.4% max 14% | 1.2× RICH |
| RIVNpost-mkt | $17B | ±10.3% | ±11.7% max 27% | CAN RUN MORE |
| FTAIpost-mkt | $16B | ±12.4% | ±11.0% max 27% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| OWLpost-mkt | $15B | ±6.9% | ±4.5% max 8% | 1.5× RICH |
| GDDYpost-mkt | $14B | ±9.1% | ±9.4% max 14% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BAXpre-mkt | $13B | ±10.3% | ±11.2% max 22% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| PINSpost-mkt | $13B | ±12.1% | ±14.5% max 22% | CAN RUN MORE |
| SIRIpre-mkt | $9B | ±5.0% | ±7.6% max 10% | CAN RUN MORE |
| NCLHpre-mkt | $7B | ±8.9% | ±9.1% max 15% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| MBLYpre-mkt | $6B | ±10.6% | ±7.0% max 14% | 1.5× RICH |
| AXTIpost-mkt | $3B | ±18.4% | ±15.6% max 31% | 1.2× RICH |
| HOGpre-mkt | $3B | ±8.0% | ±5.9% max 13% | 1.4× RICH |
| MPT | $2B | ±15.7% | — | LIMITED HISTORY |
| Fri Oct 30 | ||||
| XOMpost-mkt | $753B | ±3.9% | ±2.2% max 3% | 1.8× RICH |
| ABBVpre-mkt | $505B | ±4.8% | ±4.3% max 6% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CVXpre-mkt | $461B | ±3.9% | ±2.6% max 5% | 1.5× RICH |
| BPpre-mkt | $135B | ±4.4% | ±3.4% max 6% | 1.3× RICH |
| GDpre-mkt | $95B | ±4.1% | ±3.4% max 7% | 1.2× RICH |
| REGNpre-mkt | $83B | ±5.6% | ±6.1% max 12% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| CLpre-mkt | $75B | ±3.3% | ±3.5% max 6% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| KVUEpost-mkt | $38B | ±3.3% | ±4.2% max 12% | CAN RUN MORE |
| CBOEpre-mkt | $36B | ±5.3% | ±2.6% max 4% | 2.0× RICH |
| CCJpre-mkt | $34B | ±6.8% | ±4.4% max 7% | 1.5× RICH |
| ABRpre-mkt | $545M | ±12.8% | ±7.1% max 13% | 1.8× RICH |
Implied move = live ATM straddle for the expiry covering the report. Actual move = the stock’s own 1-day earnings reaction over its last reported quarters — avg is typical, max the biggest. “pre/post-mkt” = reports before the open / after the close. “Can run more” = options price less than history; “rich” = more; “outsized premium” = far above (usually a special catalyst).
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Educational, not investment advice. Options involve risk. Implied moves reflect live at-the-money straddle prices; historical moves are averages of past reported quarters and are not a forecast.